Assess whether cost history can support a fair-and-reasonable call (cf38e9)
August 31, 2026
SITUATION After a repair cost that exceeds replacement by 3x, lead-time outlier report is what obsolescence and DMSMS analyst can touch in a workload that shifted from organic repair to contract. Defense Sustainment will live with Fund and move materiel versus Cannibalize or substitute on this Depot Procurement Intelligence file.
DECISION Obsolescence and DMSMS analyst in a workload that shifted from organic repair to contract must choose Fund and move materiel / Cannibalize or substitute / Defer a cycle / Hold using lead-time outlier report after a repair cost that exceeds replacement by 3x.
HYPOTHESES TO TEST 1. A repair cost that exceeds replacement by 3x is noise around an already-controlled Depot Procurement Intelligence process in a workload that shifted from organic repair to contract, given lead-time outlier report. 2. A repair cost that exceeds replacement by 3x is the event in lead-time outlier report that forces Fund and move materiel for obsolescence and DMSMS analyst under Defense Sustainment. 3. Lead-time outlier report shows a one-file miss after a repair cost that exceeds replacement by 3x, not a Depot Procurement Intelligence program failure. 4. Lead-time outlier report cannot decide cost history can support yet after a repair cost that exceeds replacement by 3x; hold is the only Defense Sustainment close a workload that shifted from organic repair to contract can defend.
ANALYSIS REQUIRED 1. Trace the funding or cannibalization line that would actually move lead-time outlier report. 2. Test whether the shortfall is materiel, maintenance posting, or a bad count. 3. Compare on-hand, due-in, and condemned quantities in lead-time outlier report. 4. For this Defense Sustainment Depot Procurement Intelligence file, read lead-time outlier report against a repair cost that exceeds replacement by 3x and write the one fact that would move cost history can support for obsolescence and DMSMS analyst.
RECOMMENDATION Choose Fund and move materiel / Cannibalize or substitute / Defer a cycle / Hold on this Defense Sustainment / Depot Procurement Intelligence packet (lead-time outlier report after a repair cost that exceeds replacement by 3x). The follow-on Depot Procurement Intelligence action is what obsolescence and DMSMS analyst does next: implement the option, assign an owner, and log the missing fact.
COMMAND RETURNS - Bottom-line Defense Sustainment option on cost history can support, then the evidence in lead-time outlier report, then the action for obsolescence and DMSMS analyst - Hypothesis scorecard against lead-time outlier report: supported / rejected / untestable - Named option among Fund and move materiel, Cannibalize or substitute, Defer a cycle and the fact that kills the others - Owner and next date for obsolescence and DMSMS analyst in a workload that shifted from organic repair to contract
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